Philadelphia Union vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
3 - 0
NSC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
5 - 1
NER
41%
24%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
PHU
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
0 - 0
RBN
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAZ
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIJ
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 4
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |