Pfullendorf vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pfullendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
PIR
1 - 3
PFU
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
PFU
0 - 2
REU
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 0
PFU
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
PFU
2 - 2
SAA
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
PFU
0 - 1
BAY
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
MON
1 - 0
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ARB
2 - 3
STU
29%
28%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
HSV
1 - 1
ARB
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
KOL
4 - 2
ARB
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ARB
0 - 2
MSV
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |