Navbahor-Farm vs Shurtan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
71.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
10º
9º
23
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor-Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PFK
1 - 2
XOR
8%
16%
76%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GIJ
3 - 1
PFK
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PFK
0 - 1
QOQ
9%
17%
74%
|
20 | 59 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 1
PFK
79%
15%
6%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
3 - 0
PFK
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SHO
3 - 0
URF
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 1
SHO
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 1
GIJ
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
QOQ
2 - 1
SHO
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DSA
1 - 1
SHO
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |