Montana vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SVA
0 - 3
MON
12%
23%
66%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
BVR
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
DOB
0 - 1
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
BAN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VER
0 - 2
MON
19%
26%
55%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SEP
1 - 0
SOZ
42%
27%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SEP
3 - 0
SVA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 0
SEP
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BVR
3 - 1
SEP
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SEP
1 - 0
DOB
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |