Montana vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 0
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
4 - 0
NEF
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 0
MON
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
STR
1 - 0
MON
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NES
2 - 1
OBO
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
BVR
1 - 1
NES
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
NES
3 - 1
LUD
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BGA
2 - 1
NES
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NES
0 - 0
SOZ
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |