Montana vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
62%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
BVR
3 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
LPL
4 - 0
MON
79%
15%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
MON
1 - 3
CSK
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LOV
2 - 0
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 0
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 0
LUD
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 1
SSO
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
ETA
1 - 5
LUD
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LUD
3 - 0
CHB
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |