Montana vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SSO
2 - 1
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
BVR
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
SSO
1 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CSK
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
CVA
1 - 0
FCT
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ARK
1 - 0
CVA
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
3 - 1
CVA
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CVA
2 - 1
BER
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 0
CVA
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |