Montana vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
CHB
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
LSO
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SSO
2 - 1
MON
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MON
2 - 3
ETA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CVA
0 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
LSO
4 - 0
CVA
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CVA
0 - 0
SSO
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ETA
0 - 1
CVA
22%
28%
50%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CVA
0 - 3
LUD
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |