Montana vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LSO
3 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
MON
0 - 3
OFK
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
LOK
0 - 2
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
BER
0 - 0
MON
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
CHB
0 - 2
CVA
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LSO
3 - 0
CVA
51%
24%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CVA
4 - 2
LSO
40%
28%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
OFK
1 - 0
CVA
35%
29%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |