Cup 1/16
Global 1-1
Montana vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 2
MON
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
BVR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MON
4 - 1
ASV
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
BVR
1 - 0
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
MON
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BVR
1 - 0
ASV
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
BVR
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BVR
0 - 1
SVA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
BVR
1 - 0
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BGA
1 - 0
BVR
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |