Ascenso Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 3-7
Antioquia vs Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antioquia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PGF
0 - 6
ANT
29%
20%
51%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ANT
4 - 0
JFC
50%
20%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
COF
4 - 3
ANT
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ADC
4 - 0
ANT
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 2
QUE
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EBC
3 - 4
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
JAC
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 1
TUR
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSU
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |