Pewsum vs VfL Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pewsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BOR
2 - 0
PEW
71%
18%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PEW
2 - 1
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PEW
0 - 4
ENO
14%
19%
68%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PRH
2 - 0
PEW
65%
20%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PEW
2 - 3
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
VFL
3 - 0
ENO
29%
23%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PRH
1 - 1
VFL
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VFL
1 - 1
BAR
61%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
OSN
2 - 1
VFL
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VFL
0 - 3
MEP
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |