Pewsum vs Heesseler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pewsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VFL
5 - 1
PEW
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PEW
2 - 1
BOR
16%
22%
62%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 1
PEW
29%
24%
46%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ENO
4 - 3
PEW
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PEW
1 - 0
PRH
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Heesseler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
HEE
3 - 4
ENO
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
PRH
1 - 1
HEE
78%
15%
8%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
HEE
1 - 3
BAR
22%
23%
55%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
HEE
4 - 2
WIL
22%
23%
55%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
OSN
1 - 0
HEE
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |