Pevidém vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
3º
39
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pevidém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIA
3 - 1
PEV
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PEV
1 - 3
TIR
30%
26%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VPE
2 - 2
PEV
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BMA
3 - 2
PEV
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PEV
2 - 2
MER
32%
23%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 2
VIL
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
SMA
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 1
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |