Pevidém vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
3º
30
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pevidém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PED
1 - 1
PEV
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEV
0 - 1
AMA
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
PEV
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
PEV
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RDA
0 - 1
PEV
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 1
MER
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
SMA
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MER
3 - 4
RAB
39%
24%
38%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
MER
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |