Pevidém vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
8º
8º
13
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 3 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pevidém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PEV
2 - 0
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
OSL
0 - 0
PEV
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VPE
1 - 1
PEV
36%
27%
38%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PEV
3 - 1
TIR
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 0
PEV
20%
28%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ODO
0 - 1
AMA
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 2
SAL
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 2
AMA
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
AMA
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |