Petrovac vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
SUT
2 - 1
PET
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
PET
3 - 3
GRB
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
PET
2 - 2
ISK
68%
20%
11%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 4
PET
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ZET
0 - 0
PET
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
LOV
35%
29%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
BUD
5 - 0
MOR
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 4
PET
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 1
MOR
76%
18%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
GRB
2 - 0
MOR
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |