Petrovac vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
MLA
1 - 2
PET
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PET
0 - 3
BOK
42%
28%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BUD
1 - 2
PET
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ZET
2 - 0
PET
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GRB
3 - 1
PET
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 5
ZET
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LOV
3 - 1
MOR
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
SUT
24%
28%
48%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
RUD
2 - 2
MOR
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
IGA
2 - 0
MOR
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |