Petrovac vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
RUD
3 - 1
PET
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
STR
5 - 0
PET
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
STR
18%
22%
61%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
PET
3 - 1
ANO
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ANO
2 - 1
PET
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 3
KOM
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
JEZ
0 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
JEZ
34%
27%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 0
MOR
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
BOK
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |