Petrovac vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
6º
50
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
JED
2 - 1
PET
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
BUD
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 1
PET
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PET
1 - 0
IKD
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SUT
2 - 0
PET
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 0
DEC
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 2
IKD
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 1
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 0
NSM
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
DEC
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |