Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 5-0
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Zbrojovka Brno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
FAR
2 - 0
PET
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
PET
4 - 0
MIN
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
PET
8 - 1
ORA
75%
14%
10%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
UCL
1 - 0
PET
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1962 |
PET
3 - 2
RAP
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
LEI
4 - 1
ZBR
31%
21%
48%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
ZBR
2 - 2
LEI
80%
11%
9%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |