Petrolul Ploiesti vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
15º
12º
9
8º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 54 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 47 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 47 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 45 |
4º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 44 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 44 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 43 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 24 |
16º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
19% | 45.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81% | 54.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 2
PET
46%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 1
PET
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
GAL
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
PET
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
UCL
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 3
CLU
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 2
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
STB
3 - 2
SFC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
CSM
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |