Petrolul Ploiesti vs FC Buzău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
15º
12º
5
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 51 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 49 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 48 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 47 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 46 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 43 |
7º
|
5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 41 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 40 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 31 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
16% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
84% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FEN
2 - 1
PET
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
PET
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 0
PET
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
GAL
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Buzău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SBU
2 - 1
GLO
45%
23%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GLO
1 - 1
HEB
57%
22%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 2
GLO
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
GLO
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
RAP
4 - 1
GLO
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |