Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-4
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
SID
0 - 0
PET
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
PET
1 - 0
BRA
59%
21%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
RAP
0 - 6
PET
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
PET
2 - 2
PRO
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1963 |
FEN
4 - 1
PET
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
HAC
1 - 4
FEN
26%
23%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
TUR
2 - 0
FEN
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1963 |
FEN
4 - 1
PET
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
FEN
1 - 1
FER
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1963 |
FEN
4 - 1
BEY
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |