Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 2-5
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PET
0 - 0
RAP
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CSM
1 - 5
PET
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
VKP
1 - 4
PET
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PET
4 - 1
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
PET
1 - 1
VKP
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
DZG
1 - 0
SPL
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
OSI
1 - 2
DZG
13%
21%
66%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
DZG
0 - 2
AAB
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
DZG
5 - 0
ZAD
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
AAB
0 - 1
DZG
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |