Petrolina vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 1
PET
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
PET
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
PET
1 - 6
PES
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PET
1 - 1
SAL
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 1
PET
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
SAL
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
SER
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
POR
45%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
SER
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
PES
1 - 0
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |