Petrolina vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
PET
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PET
3 - 1
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
PET
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PET
1 - 2
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SER
2 - 4
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
YPI
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 4
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
PER
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FEC
1 - 5
SER
17%
21%
63%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | +1 |