Petrolina vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
69.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
5 - 0
PET
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PET
0 - 0
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AFO
1 - 0
PET
52%
21%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PET
3 - 0
LIM
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 1
PET
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
43%
24%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 1
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
BAH
22%
26%
53%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
FEC
1 - 1
SAN
8%
15%
78%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
AME
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | +1 |