Petrolina vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
72.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
PET
85%
12%
3%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SDJ
2 - 1
PET
57%
25%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SPO
4 - 0
PET
88%
10%
2%
|
35 | 72 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 1
PET
67%
22%
12%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
PET
0 - 0
ACA
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
RIV
81%
13%
5%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
25%
24%
50%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
TRE
0 - 0
NAU
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 1
ABC
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |