Petrolina vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
58.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
PET
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
PET
3 - 3
YPI
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
PET
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
PET
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
YPI
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 0
CAM
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 3
HOR
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
62%
20%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 4
FOR
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |