Petrolina vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 1
PET
63%
23%
14%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
3 - 0
PET
88%
10%
2%
|
34 | 74 | 40 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
PET
1 - 2
SAN
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
5 - 0
PET
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PET
0 - 0
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FEC
1 - 1
ACA
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NAU
4 - 2
FEC
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
FEC
0 - 2
CEN
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 3
FEC
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
FEC
1 - 1
SAN
8%
15%
78%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |