Petrolina vs Chã Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
PET
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
73%
|
32 | 72 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
PET
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
BEL
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PES
1 - 1
PET
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
BEL
37%
25%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PES
2 - 1
CHA
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |