Petrolina vs Cascavel FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
PET
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
SAN
24%
26%
51%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
PET
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
FEC
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
COT
10%
18%
72%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CIA
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
CAS
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 0
CAS
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | 0 |