Petrolina vs Belo Jardim FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
PET
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
ARA
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
SER
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
SAL
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 3
SPO
9%
16%
75%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
YPI
3 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |