Petrolina vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
PET
1 - 0
ACA
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 3
PET
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PET
1 - 1
SPO
9%
16%
75%
|
28 | 73 | 45 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 0
PET
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SER
1 - 0
PET
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
AME
0 - 2
CEN
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
AME
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 73 | 40 | 0 |