Petrolina vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 1
PET
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
PET
28%
23%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PET
0 - 1
SPO
11%
22%
67%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
PET
88%
10%
2%
|
40 | 76 | 36 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AFO
3 - 2
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
AFO
0 - 1
NAU
8%
15%
78%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CEN
4 - 1
AFO
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
0 - 4
AFO
13%
17%
70%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFO
3 - 1
VCR
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |