Petroleros de Salamanca vs CA Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
11º
10º
1
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 29 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 22 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 19 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 19 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 16 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 15 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 9 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 7 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
38.5% | 53% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petroleros de Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 0
PDS
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
PDS
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DEV
3 - 0
PDS
57%
23%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
PDS
1 - 0
DEV
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ESC
0 - 0
PDS
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 0
HDZ
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
IRA
3 - 2
ZAC
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ZAC
3 - 1
TIG
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MEX
0 - 2
ZAC
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ZAC
1 - 2
CAO
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |