Supertaça Final
First-leg 0-0
Petro de Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petro de Luanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 1
PET
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
REC
0 - 2
PET
21%
26%
54%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
PET
4 - 0
SCB
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
PET
3 - 1
SAG
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
WYD
1 - 1
PET
69%
18%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Sagrada Esperança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
PRI
3 - 1
SAG
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
SAG
1 - 1
CRD
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
PET
3 - 1
SAG
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 1
SAG
24%
31%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAG
1 - 2
INT
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |