Supertaça Final
Global 3-5
Petro de Luanda vs AS Aviação analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petro de Luanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
PET
0 - 1
IND
83%
13%
5%
|
64 | 12 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1995 |
IND
0 - 0
PET
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 11 | 54 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1995 |
PET
3 - 3
IND
83%
13%
5%
|
65 | 11 | 54 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1994 |
ASA
0 - 1
PET
27%
28%
46%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1994 |
PET
0 - 0
ASA
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
AS Aviação
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1994 |
ASA
0 - 1
PET
27%
28%
46%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1994 |
PET
0 - 0
ASA
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | +1 |