Petrocub Hîncești vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
4º
3º
25
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrocub Hîncești
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 1
PET
27%
27%
45%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
SPA
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
LUD
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
FCD
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 0
PET
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZIM
2 - 3
SPA
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
ZIM
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 2
SHF
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 8
ZIM
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
4 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |