Petrocub Hîncești vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
5º
4º
13
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 32 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 24 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 22 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 21 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 13 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 11 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 6 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrocub Hîncești
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 1
PET
27%
27%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
SPA
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
LUD
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
FCD
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 0
PET
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZIM
2 - 3
SPA
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
ZIM
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 2
SHF
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 8
ZIM
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
4 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |