Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Petrocub Hîncești vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrocub Hîncești
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
APO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
APO
1 - 0
PET
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
ORD
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ORD
0 - 0
PET
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 5
PET
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
FLI
65%
17%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TNS
1 - 2
FTC
39%
22%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
FTC
5 - 0
TNS
58%
21%
22%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TNS
1 - 1
MAC
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
DEC
1 - 1
TNS
33%
23%
44%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |