Petone vs Whanganui Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
4º
5
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
WAF
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
PET
2 - 2
WKA
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 5
PET
26%
20%
55%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PET
4 - 3
MIR
10%
14%
77%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
PET
87%
9%
3%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Whanganui Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
WAF
78%
13%
9%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
WKA
3 - 1
WAF
91%
6%
2%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 2
MIR
3%
8%
89%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
WSU
7 - 1
WAF
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 5
NAP
5%
10%
85%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |