Petone vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
55.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
7º
7º
40
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PET
2 - 3
IBU
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PET
3 - 2
STO
39%
21%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
MAN
28%
21%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 3
WKA
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
3 - 2
WSU
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WSU
91%
6%
2%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 7
WSU
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |