Petone vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
55.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
7º
7º
40
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PET
2 - 3
IBU
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PET
3 - 2
STO
39%
21%
39%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
MAN
28%
21%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 3
WKA
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
3 - 2
WSU
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WSU
91%
6%
2%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 7
WSU
16%
17%
67%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |