Petone vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
68.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
7º
7º
24
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PET
3 - 3
STO
50%
20%
29%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
STO
1 - 3
PET
51%
20%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 2
PET
23%
19%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
PET
77%
13%
10%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PET
1 - 5
WEL
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
MIR
44%
21%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 4
NWA
81%
12%
8%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
WKA
62%
17%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 3
WEL
10%
13%
77%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |