Petone vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
76.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
4º
31
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
PET
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
PET
3 - 0
FCW
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PET
2 - 0
WAF
91%
7%
3%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
WAF
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
PET
2 - 2
WKA
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 1
WAF
95%
4%
1%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
73%
16%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 3
WEL
12%
15%
73%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 3
WEL
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |