Petone vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
85.9%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.8%
0-5
5.9%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.2%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NWA
4 - 6
PET
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PET
4 - 2
WAF
64%
18%
19%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MIR
7 - 1
PET
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
WKA
4 - 0
PET
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WEL
7 - 1
PET
93%
6%
2%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WAF
1 - 7
WEL
4%
9%
87%
|
42 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 0
MIR
22%
21%
58%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
WSU
1 - 2
WEL
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WEL
7 - 1
PET
93%
6%
2%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WEL
6 - 0
WKA
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |