Petone vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
4º
18
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 5
PET
26%
20%
55%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PET
4 - 3
MIR
10%
14%
77%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
PET
87%
9%
3%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
PET
93%
5%
2%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
WSU
35%
21%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 4
WKA
83%
10%
7%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
2 - 2
WSU
41%
21%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
5 - 0
WKA
56%
20%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 4
WKA
26%
20%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
2 - 3
STO
81%
12%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |