Petone vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
4º
7
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 3
PET
81%
11%
8%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
STO
2 - 1
PET
34%
21%
46%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PET
4 - 0
WEL
7%
13%
81%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
0 - 1
PET
71%
15%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PET
0 - 5
WEL
6%
10%
85%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -2 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 5
WEL
7%
12%
81%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
NWA
94%
5%
2%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NWA
2 - 3
WAF
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
WKA
5 - 1
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NWA
2 - 5
MIR
9%
13%
78%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |