Petone vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
77.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
5 - 0
PET
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
PET
0 - 3
WEL
4%
11%
84%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PET
1 - 0
WUF
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PET
2 - 4
NAP
12%
15%
73%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PET
3 - 1
NWA
18%
18%
65%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
0 - 4
WEL
14%
16%
70%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 0
WUF
83%
11%
7%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
NWA
3 - 2
NAP
13%
15%
71%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
NAP
7 - 0
WUF
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
HNW
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |