Peterhead vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
68.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
10º
48
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
EDI
4 - 0
PET
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KHE
3 - 0
PET
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PET
0 - 3
QUE
7%
16%
77%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
DUN
15%
23%
62%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 1
PET
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
AIR
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
EDI
2 - 2
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
QUE
2 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
ALL
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 5
DFC
85%
11%
5%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |